UFC Vegas 116 Predictions & Breakdowns | Sterling vs Zalal Main Card Analysis (2026)

This weekend, the UFC returns to its home base in Las Vegas, Nevada, for UFC Vegas 116. With over a hundred events at the Apex, I've learned to focus on the main event and the quality of the established names rather than searching for prospects. And this time, we're in for a treat with an intriguing main event and a solid undercard.

The Main Event: Sterling vs. Zalal

Aljamain Sterling, the former champ, takes on Youssef Zalal in a high-level matchup. This fight has all the makings of an exciting bout, and it's a great way to draw attention to the event. Personally, I think it's a smart move by the UFC to showcase these two talented fighters.

Bantamweight Battle: Dumont vs. Edwards

In the bantamweight division, Norma Dumont, who has been on a roll with six straight wins, faces Joselyne Edwards, a short-notice replacement for Yana Santos. Dumont has improved her takedown defense and boxing, making her a tough opponent. Edwards, on the other hand, has been finishing fights with her improved aggression. While Dumont might have the edge in hand speed and durability, the short-notice nature of the fight could tilt the scales in her favor. I predict Dumont will edge out a decision victory.

Lightweight Showdown: Garcia vs. Hernandez

Rafa Garcia, a classic wrestle-boxer, goes up against Alexander Hernandez, an athletic wrestler. Garcia's recent knockout win over Jared Gordon raised some eyebrows, but the circumstances surrounding that fight leave some questions. Hernandez, on the other hand, has found success at lightweight with improved gas tank management. I believe Hernandez has turned a corner and will be able to utilize his wrestling to keep the fight upright and punish Garcia's forward pressure. My pick is Hernandez via decision.

Featherweight Clash: Grant vs. Martinetti

Davey Grant, a fan favorite, takes on Adrian Luna Martinetti, who is making his UFC debut. Grant, despite his age, has shown no signs of slowing down and brings his powerful kickboxing to every fight. Martinetti, with an impressive record, relies on high-volume kickboxing and quality BJJ. However, this is a significant step up in competition for him. Grant's craftiness and grit, combined with his powerful kicks, should give him the edge. I predict Grant will wear down Martinetti and secure a decision victory.

Bantamweight Contender Fight: Jackson vs. Barcelos

Montel Jackson, a frustrating yet talented fighter, faces Raoni Barcelos, who is riding a wave of momentum. Jackson's inactivity and one-note style could be his downfall against the relentless Barcelos. Barcelos, at 38, is having the best year of his career with a mix of boxing and wrestling. His tendency to struggle against high-volume fighters might work in Jackson's favor, but Barcelos' overall skill set and experience give him the advantage. I predict Barcelos will outwork Jackson and take a decision victory.

Heavyweight Bout: Buchecha vs. Spann

Marcus Buchecha, a world-class grappler, takes on Ryan Spann, a former light heavyweight. Buchecha's striking and wrestling are raw, and he struggled in his last fight against Kennedy Nzechukwu. Spann, with his hard-hitting style and guillotine choke, could pose a serious threat. I think Spann's all-around better skills will be the difference, and I predict he'll knock out Buchecha, possibly with that trademark guillotine.

This card has a great mix of fights, and I'm excited to see how these predictions play out. It's always a thrill to analyze and speculate on these matchups, and I can't wait for the action to unfold.

UFC Vegas 116 Predictions & Breakdowns | Sterling vs Zalal Main Card Analysis (2026)
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